AMD’s first RDNA 3 graphics cards will arrive in December, according to the latest rumor about high-end GPUs.
As Tom’s Hardware (opens in new tab) reports, this comes from the well-known ECSM leaker in Bilibili (opens in new tab) (a Chinese video-sharing platform) and while that person was right about things in the past, we would still take it very seriously. Particularly as the speculation is phrased in rather vague terms (post-translation, that is – keep that in mind too).
ECSM believes the RX 7000 series will be unveiled in November (seems right), with the first graphics cards coming out in the second half of December – right when the holiday season rolls around, basically. And what models are coming, you might ask?
The “first and second flagship” is the leaker’s claim, which we understand as the pair of graphics cards based on the high-end Navi 31 chip, presumably the RX 7900 XT and RX 7800 XT – but obviously this is the more sketchy side. of speculation here.
The worrying part is that ECSM presents the idea that, in terms of performance, AMD’s flagship might find it “hard to compete” with Nvidia’s RTX 4000 series – meaning the RTX 4090 flagship, of course.
Analysis: Don’t panic – even if this is true, the flagship RDNA 3 could still be very competitive
It’s certainly true that AMD has long been rumored to release its next-gen flagship first when it comes to RDNA 3 graphics cards, so this marries the information here, of course.
We expected the first RX 7000 offering to appear a little earlier than that, and indeed, if that date is correct, AMD is just starting to have next-gen products on sale by the end of 2022 as promised.
As noted, it’s a little worrying that ECSM is casting doubt on the performance of the high-end RDNA 3 GPU over the RTX 4090. In case you were wondering, one of the Bilibili commentators actually asked if this could be related to the ray-traced performance. , or rasterization (traditional, no ray tracing) – and the leaker clarified that they meant both.
From what we’ve heard elsewhere, AMD certainly won’t be able to compete on the ray tracing front, but hopefully with rasterization things will get a lot closer. However, we can only put so much stock in rumors, so let’s keep our fingers crossed that these somewhat sinister noises are overly cautious pieces of speculation. While even if AMD’s core performance struggles to compete with Nvidia, there is still room to price GPUs to create an attractive revenue on the price/performance front.
If performance per dollar is favorable for AMD – and indeed performance related to power consumption, which equates to extra long-term cost savings, of course, particularly with high electricity prices – then Team Red could still have the means to establish a strong foothold in the next-gen GPU arena.
Don’t forget that this is just the main end of the spectrum we’re talking about, which is a relatively niche proposition – and the mid-range (and indeed low-cost) battle can be very different.
Also, another tricky area will undoubtedly be inventory, where there will always be question marks about how much RX 7900 XT supply AMD can get. Because, as we’ve seen, Nvidia was rumored to have strong RTX 4090 stock levels initially, but that’s not what we’ve seen so far (keep an eye on where to buy the RTX 4090 article if you want updates on where the stock is filtering).